IC
IDEX CORP /DE/ (IEX)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered record sales of $865.4M (+7% reported, +1% organic) and adjusted EPS of $2.07; management highlighted outperformance on adjusted EBITDA margin and adjusted EPS despite macro uncertainty .
- Versus Wall Street, IDEX beat on EPS ($2.07 vs $1.99*) and revenue ($865.4M vs $859.4M*); adjusted EBITDA also exceeded consensus ($241.0M vs $229.4M*) as pricing and productivity offset mix and volume headwinds. Bold beats: EPS, revenue, EBITDA*.
- Guidance reset: FY25 GAAP EPS cut to $6.30–$6.44 (from $6.56–$6.95) and adjusted EPS to $7.85–$7.95 (from $8.10–$8.45); Q3 adjusted EPS guided to $1.90–$1.95 and organic growth 2–3% .
- Order patterns were choppy due to trade/tariff headlines, with backlog reductions in late June and a steady recovery through July; larger-order decision-making slowed, particularly in recently acquired HST platforms (MSS, Mott), tempering back-half acceleration .
- Capital deployment remains balanced: $50M buyback in Q2, $100M 1H25 repurchases; dividend maintained at $0.71 (123rd consecutive payment) .
Note: Values marked with an asterisk (*) in this section were retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Adjusted performance beat: “While revenue came in toward the midpoint of our guidance, we outperformed on both adjusted EBITDA margin and adjusted EPS” .
- Platform execution: HST organic sales +4% with strength in pharma, space/defense, and data-center thermal management (pneumatics); FMT margin expanded 130 bps YoY on price/cost and productivity; FSDP margin +40 bps YoY on price/cost .
- Cash generation: Free cash flow $146.9M (+25% YoY) and 94% conversion; operating cash flow $161.7M; liquidity of ~$1.1B (cash $568M + undrawn revolver $541M) after debt repayment .
What Went Wrong
- Mix/volume headwinds: Adjusted EBITDA margin declined 40 bps YoY to 27.4% and gross margin slipped 10 bps YoY; organic sales only +1% .
- Semi lithography and larger orders: MSS semi-lithography remained flat with high-margin business pressure; Mott’s back-half ramp moderated as customers paused decisions on bigger projects amid trade/tariff uncertainty .
- Higher costs and tax: Interest expense increased (net $15.6M vs $8.1M YoY) and effective tax rate was higher, weighing on GAAP EPS ($1.74 vs $1.86 YoY) despite adjusted EPS flat .
Financial Results
Consolidated results vs prior periods
Year-over-year reference (Q2 2024): Revenue $807.2M, GAAP EPS $1.86, adjusted EPS $2.06, gross margin 45.4% .
Actual vs S&P Global consensus (Q2 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global. Estimates count: EPS (11), Revenue (10)*.
Segment breakdown (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
KPIs and cash metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The IDEX teams across all three segments delivered better than expected results in Q2 despite continued macro uncertainty” .
- “We saw order recovery build through July… [but] unpredictable shifts in policy are slowing down decision making for larger orders… we are lowering our back half financial projections” .
- “Adjusted EPS guidance moves to $7.85 to $7.95… we expect to fully mitigate tariff related inflation with price increases and additional sourcing and supply chain savings” .
- On Mott/MSS: “Mott’s acceleration has slowed a bit this year… we’ve recalibrated its growth potential for the back half… we confirm the acquisition will be accretive exiting the year” .
- On data centers: “Airtech… solutions within data center applications… fuel cell power support and thermal management via liquid cooling” .
Q&A Highlights
- Semi/larger orders: Confidence improved as patterns stabilized post early-July clarity; high-margin MSS lithography likely flat near term; Mott’s acceleration moderated given paused decisions; physics limits constrain Q4 production ramp .
- Tariffs: FY25 impact updated to ~$50M with ~⅔ recognized; plan to offset via 3%+ pricing and sourcing/supply chain savings; further tariffs not in guidance .
- Day rates/backlog: April/May steady; backlog reductions concentrated in late June; July rebuilt to expected baseline .
- Pricing capture: ~3% in Q2 (traditional + tariff-related), with acceleration as tariff pricing rolls through 2H .
- Water: Timing-driven Q2 dip; July release; underlying numbers “good going forward” .
- Data center revenue sizing: Important for Airtech but not yet a major corporate catalyst; early peripheral wins at Muon .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 actual vs consensus: EPS $2.07 vs $1.99*, revenue $865.4M vs $859.4M*, EBITDA $241.0M vs $229.4M*. IDEX posted broad-based beats on all three metrics*.
- Estimate counts: EPS (11), revenue (10)*. Near-term estimate adjustments likely trend lower for FY25 EPS given lowered guidance ranges and moderated 2H volume/mix expectations .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q2 was resilient: record revenue and strong adjusted EPS/EBITDA despite macro/tariff noise; free cash flow conversion improved materially .
- Bold beat against Street: EPS, revenue, and EBITDA all exceeded consensus; supports near-term credibility even as FY25 guide resets* .
- Guidance reset reflects slower larger-order decisions and MSS mix; expect softer 2H margin trajectory vs prior plan with Q3 adjusted EPS $1.90–$1.95 and flat sequential revenue .
- Tariff risk better bounded: FY25 impact updated to ~$50M with mitigation via price and sourcing; monitor potential incremental tariff announcements .
- Segment dynamics: HST growth supported by pharma/space/defense/data center; FMT margin sturdy on price/productivity; FSDP steady with integrated Fire & Safety adoption .
- M&A and platforms: Micro-LAM adds complementary optics capabilities; bolt-on pipeline active; platform integration remains a medium-term margin/ROIC lever .
- Capital returns: Dividend maintained; buybacks accelerated ($100M 1H25); liquidity ample for balanced deployment .